ACR Messina vs AlbinoLeffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 0
MES
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
MES
2 - 0
TRE
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BRE
3 - 1
MES
47%
26%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
MES
0 - 0
FRO
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MAN
4 - 0
MES
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ABN
4 - 1
BAR
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
ABN
1 - 0
CES
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MOD
2 - 3
ABN
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
RAV
0 - 2
ABN
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ABN
2 - 1
GRO
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |