ACR Messina vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
MES
0 - 0
PIS
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
MES
4 - 1
JUS
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
ASS
1 - 1
MES
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
MES
1 - 0
MOD
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
TRE
1 - 0
BRE
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
TRE
3 - 0
REG
60%
21%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
GEN
1 - 0
TRE
72%
16%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
ACM
0 - 0
TRE
53%
22%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
TRE
1 - 1
SIR
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |