ACR Messina vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
COM
1 - 1
MES
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
MES
2 - 1
ASC
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PAL
0 - 0
MES
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ABN
0 - 0
MES
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
MES
4 - 0
GEN
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 1
FIO
43%
26%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
TRE
0 - 0
TOR
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 1
LIV
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
PIA
2 - 0
TOR
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 1
TRI
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |