Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 0-4
ACR Messina vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
47%
23%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
MES
1 - 1
ASC
40%
24%
36%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
MES
1 - 0
BAR
52%
23%
26%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
CAM
1 - 1
MES
47%
23%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
MES
1 - 0
ROM
27%
29%
44%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
TOR
0 - 1
ROM
41%
29%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
SAM
0 - 0
TOR
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
TOR
3 - 1
LEC
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
FIO
0 - 0
TOR
56%
26%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
TOR
2 - 0
UDI
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |