ACR Messina vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
NAP
1 - 0
MES
41%
29%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
MES
2 - 1
LIV
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 1
MES
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
MES
1 - 1
TOR
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
COM
1 - 1
MES
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
TER
0 - 0
ABN
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VER
3 - 2
TER
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2004 |
TER
0 - 0
BAR
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
TER
3 - 0
PES
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VNZ
0 - 1
TER
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |