ACR Messina vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
27.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
MES
1 - 1
LEC
32%
30%
38%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
PAD
4 - 0
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
MES
0 - 2
BRE
48%
30%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
UDI
1 - 0
MES
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
PES
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
TAR
0 - 0
BRE
45%
31%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
LEC
3 - 1
TAR
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
TAR
0 - 0
ANC
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
COS
2 - 1
TAR
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
TAR
2 - 0
PAD
43%
30%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |