ACR Messina vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
20.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
GEN
3 - 1
MES
51%
28%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
MES
3 - 1
SSB
57%
25%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
TRI
1 - 0
MES
47%
30%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
USC
0 - 0
MES
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
MES
3 - 0
PAR
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1988 |
TAR
2 - 2
BAR
46%
31%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1988 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAR
50%
30%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1988 |
TAR
0 - 3
BOL
41%
31%
29%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1988 |
FCC
2 - 0
TAR
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1988 |
TAR
2 - 1
BRE
47%
30%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |