ACR Messina vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
19.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1960 |
MES
1 - 0
REG
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
TOR
0 - 0
MES
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
MAN
3 - 0
MES
63%
20%
16%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
MES
0 - 1
TRI
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
MES
1 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 0
TAR
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
TAR
2 - 0
MOD
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
TAR
2 - 3
CAT
48%
27%
26%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
LEC
2 - 0
TAR
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
TAR
2 - 0
SSS
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |