ACR Messina vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
MOD
2 - 1
MES
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
MES
2 - 0
ARZ
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
BAR
2 - 0
MES
53%
28%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
MES
0 - 0
BRE
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
MES
3 - 1
TAR
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
SSS
0 - 0
GEN
47%
30%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
PIA
0 - 0
SSS
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
SSS
2 - 1
TAR
44%
30%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
SSB
0 - 0
SSS
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
SSS
0 - 1
PAR
42%
32%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |