ACR Messina vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
14%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
PES
1 - 1
MES
51%
26%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 0
MES
43%
29%
29%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
MES
0 - 0
MOD
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
TRI
1 - 1
MES
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
MES
1 - 1
PIS
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
SSS
1 - 2
BOL
41%
35%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
PAR
41%
33%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
PES
2 - 0
SSS
59%
27%
14%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
SSS
1 - 0
LAZ
39%
33%
28%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
USC
1 - 0
SSS
62%
25%
13%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |