ACR Messina vs Juve Stabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
MES
85%
12%
3%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MES
1 - 1
PAG
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 1
MES
65%
21%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MES
4 - 1
REG
26%
25%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Juve Stabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
JUS
2 - 0
PAG
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
REG
0 - 0
JUS
40%
27%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
JUS
1 - 1
MAR
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SSB
1 - 1
JUS
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
JUS
0 - 1
NUO
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |