ACR Messina vs Juve Stabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
ASS
1 - 1
MES
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
MES
1 - 0
MOD
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
MES
0 - 0
GEN
40%
24%
37%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
ACM
0 - 0
MES
57%
21%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1951 |
VER
2 - 0
MES
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Juve Stabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
JUS
0 - 2
VIC
49%
23%
27%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
PIS
2 - 1
JUS
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
JUS
1 - 1
CAT
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
FAN
4 - 1
JUS
71%
16%
13%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1951 |
JUS
1 - 1
SAL
54%
22%
25%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |