ACR Messina vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
24.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
MES
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
ASC
5 - 1
MES
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
MES
2 - 2
COS
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
PAD
5 - 1
MES
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
MES
1 - 1
SAL
52%
28%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1991 |
REG
2 - 0
SSB
47%
29%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
SSB
2 - 0
ASL
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
UDI
1 - 0
SSB
75%
16%
8%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
SSB
0 - 1
USC
38%
31%
31%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
TAR
1 - 1
SSB
46%
29%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |