ACR Messina vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
ASS
1 - 0
MES
39%
32%
29%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
MES
1 - 1
SSS
61%
25%
14%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
COS
2 - 1
MES
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
MES
2 - 0
PAD
56%
27%
17%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
USC
2 - 0
MES
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
SSB
0 - 0
LIC
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
PIA
1 - 1
SSB
49%
28%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
SSB
0 - 0
BAR
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
BRE
2 - 2
SSB
49%
29%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
SSB
0 - 0
UDI
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |