ACR Messina vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
VER
2 - 1
MES
91%
7%
3%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
MES
0 - 1
CES
47%
24%
30%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
MES
0 - 0
CAM
50%
28%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
LEC
2 - 0
MES
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
MES
1 - 1
VIC
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
CAM
1 - 0
SPA
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
SPA
0 - 1
VER
18%
26%
57%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
SPA
1 - 1
VIC
32%
26%
43%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SPA
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
CES
1 - 0
SPA
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |