ACR Messina vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SPA
3 - 1
MES
75%
15%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
TRE
0 - 1
MES
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
MES
2 - 1
REG
51%
22%
28%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
MES
2 - 0
USC
59%
20%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
VER
3 - 0
MES
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SIR
3 - 1
ANC
77%
13%
10%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
SIR
4 - 1
FAN
69%
17%
15%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
SIR
2 - 2
SER
83%
10%
7%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
BRE
0 - 0
SIR
65%
19%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
VER
3 - 2
SIR
67%
18%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |