ACR Messina vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
8.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
MES
4 - 1
LIV
56%
20%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
MES
4 - 1
SIR
58%
20%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SPA
3 - 1
MES
75%
15%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
TRE
0 - 1
MES
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
MES
2 - 1
REG
51%
22%
28%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
CAT
2 - 0
SER
76%
14%
10%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
SER
2 - 1
BAR
42%
23%
35%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
BRE
2 - 0
SER
75%
15%
10%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
VIC
2 - 0
SER
76%
14%
10%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
SER
3 - 0
USC
44%
25%
30%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |