ACR Messina vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
12.5%
2-0
17%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
19%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
21%
8.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
GEN
2 - 2
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
MES
1 - 1
PAD
41%
30%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
MES
2 - 0
REG
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
FCC
2 - 0
MES
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
SAL
0 - 2
MES
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
FCC
3 - 0
SAV
72%
19%
8%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
SAV
1 - 0
POT
29%
26%
46%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
SAV
0 - 0
REG
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
PIS
1 - 0
SAV
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
SAV
0 - 1
VAR
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |