ACR Messina vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2006 |
INT
4 - 0
MES
82%
14%
5%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
ACM
1 - 0
MES
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 94 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
MES
1 - 4
LAZ
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
MES
2 - 2
CAG
43%
26%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2006 |
MES
0 - 1
INT
19%
26%
55%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2006 |
PAL
2 - 3
SAM
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SAM
2 - 4
ROM
29%
26%
45%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
TOR
1 - 0
SAM
36%
29%
36%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
SAM
3 - 0
CHI
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
SAM
1 - 0
PAL
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |