ACR Messina vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 2
MES
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
PIS
2 - 1
MES
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2001 |
REG
0 - 0
MES
58%
26%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
MES
2 - 1
NAP
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
MES
0 - 2
PAR
20%
27%
54%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOD
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2001 |
SAM
2 - 1
CTT
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 1
SAM
23%
24%
53%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
SAM
1 - 2
JUV
24%
27%
49%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2001 |
GEN
1 - 0
SAM
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |