ACR Messina vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 1
MES
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
MES
2 - 1
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
COS
3 - 3
MES
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
VNZ
0 - 2
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MES
2 - 2
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
COS
0 - 0
SAL
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
SAL
2 - 2
TRI
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
SAL
1 - 3
VER
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
CAG
2 - 0
SAL
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
SAL
2 - 0
NAP
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |