ACR Messina vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
19.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
REG
4 - 1
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
MES
1 - 0
PES
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
41%
30%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
USC
43%
30%
27%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
AVE
2 - 0
MES
39%
30%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
SSB
0 - 0
SAL
49%
28%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
SAL
0 - 0
ASL
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
ANC
3 - 0
SAL
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
SAL
2 - 0
REG
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
USC
2 - 1
SAL
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |