ACR Messina vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
MOD
0 - 0
MES
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
MES
0 - 0
ATP
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
MES
1 - 1
USA
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
PRO
1 - 0
MES
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
SAL
1 - 0
PRO
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
SAL
1 - 1
COM
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
VER
3 - 3
SAL
66%
19%
14%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
SAL
2 - 1
BRE
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
PAD
2 - 0
SAL
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |