ACR Messina vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
VNZ
4 - 2
MES
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
PIS
0 - 1
MES
63%
18%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
MES
0 - 1
FAN
69%
17%
14%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
MES
4 - 1
SPE
56%
21%
24%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
UNI
1 - 0
MES
74%
14%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
SAL
4 - 2
MOD
50%
25%
26%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
PIS
2 - 2
SAL
59%
21%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
SAL
4 - 2
LIV
53%
23%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
BRE
1 - 0
SAL
62%
21%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
SAL
3 - 2
VNZ
56%
23%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |