ACR Messina vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
44.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
GEN
0 - 0
MES
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
MES
0 - 0
PRG
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
REG
0 - 0
MES
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
PAL
39%
33%
28%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
CAT
0 - 0
MES
60%
25%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1985 |
TOR
1 - 0
ROM
42%
28%
29%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
ROM
4 - 3
INT
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
USC
0 - 5
ROM
27%
31%
43%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
ROM
1 - 1
NAP
71%
19%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
UDI
0 - 2
ROM
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |