ACR Messina vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 0
MES
27%
27%
47%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MES
5 - 0
GEL
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 0
MES
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MES
3 - 0
CCI
69%
17%
14%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
NOC
2 - 2
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 1
ROC
50%
25%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ROC
0 - 0
ASD
26%
22%
53%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CCI
3 - 1
ROC
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 0
ACI
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
ROC
45%
23%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |