ACR Messina vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
FCC
2 - 0
MES
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
SAL
0 - 2
MES
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
REG
0 - 1
MES
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
GEN
3 - 1
MES
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
MES
0 - 0
PRO
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
NOV
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
REG
0 - 0
POT
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
REG
0 - 1
MES
62%
19%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
LEC
0 - 0
REG
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
LIV
0 - 1
REG
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |