ACR Messina vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
21.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
PAD
4 - 1
MES
52%
27%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
MES
1 - 0
FCC
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
MES
3 - 0
VNZ
41%
30%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
LEC
0 - 0
MES
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
MAN
2 - 0
MES
56%
26%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
GEN
1 - 1
PRO
64%
22%
15%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1966 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAL
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAD
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
MOD
4 - 0
PRO
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
PRO
0 - 0
LIV
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |