ACR Messina vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
GEN
1 - 1
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
MES
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
MES
3 - 1
USA
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
MES
1 - 0
USF
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
PAL
2 - 2
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
PAL
3 - 1
PRO
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
PRO
2 - 1
USF
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 1
PRO
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
PRO
2 - 1
SSS
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
COM
2 - 1
PRO
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |