ACR Messina vs Potenza SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
24%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
MES
2 - 0
LIV
38%
32%
31%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
ASS
2 - 0
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
PAD
38%
32%
30%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
MES
1 - 1
MOD
44%
30%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
LEC
2 - 0
MES
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Potenza SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
PAD
3 - 0
POT
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
POT
1 - 0
NOV
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
POT
0 - 0
REG
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
LEC
2 - 0
POT
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
POT
1 - 0
PRG
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |