ACR Messina vs Portici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
3 - 2
MES
40%
24%
37%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MES
3 - 0
GEL
47%
21%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 0
MES
41%
23%
35%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TUR
2 - 1
MES
48%
25%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MES
0 - 3
ACI
66%
19%
16%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Portici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
ROC
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 1
POR
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
NOC
25%
22%
54%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 2
POR
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 0
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |