ACR Messina vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
MES
4 - 1
JUS
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
ASS
1 - 1
MES
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
MES
1 - 0
MOD
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
MES
0 - 0
GEN
40%
24%
37%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
CAT
1 - 0
PIS
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
FAN
3 - 0
PIS
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
PIS
1 - 1
SAL
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
PIS
2 - 1
JUS
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
VIC
3 - 0
PIS
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |