ACR Messina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
MES
0 - 0
BRE
57%
26%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
52%
28%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
MES
3 - 0
BAR
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
REG
1 - 0
MES
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
MES
2 - 0
TAR
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
PAR
0 - 1
PIA
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
BRE
0 - 0
PAR
45%
32%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
PAR
1 - 1
GEN
47%
29%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
SSB
0 - 3
PAR
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
PAR
0 - 0
UDI
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |