ACR Messina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
23.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1988 |
MES
1 - 1
BOL
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
UDI
1 - 0
MES
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1988 |
MES
1 - 0
FCC
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
LAZ
2 - 0
MES
56%
26%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
MES
2 - 1
PAD
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1988 |
PAR
0 - 0
FCC
50%
29%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1988 |
ATL
2 - 1
PAR
63%
24%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1988 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAR
52%
28%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
PAR
0 - 0
BRE
47%
31%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
USC
0 - 0
PAR
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |