ACR Messina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
SSS
2 - 1
MES
34%
31%
36%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
PAD
1 - 1
MES
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
MES
1 - 0
ASL
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
MES
1 - 0
USA
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
ASS
1 - 0
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 2
UDI
40%
28%
33%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
LAZ
0 - 1
PAR
71%
20%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
PAR
1 - 1
COM
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
2 - 1
TRI
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAR
66%
22%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |