ACR Messina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
VNZ
0 - 2
MES
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
SSS
4 - 1
MES
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
MES
6 - 1
ASS
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
MES
0 - 1
COM
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
FCC
2 - 0
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1960 |
PAR
1 - 0
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAR
63%
21%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOD
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
TAR
2 - 1
PAR
51%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
TOR
2 - 0
PAR
70%
17%
13%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |