ACR Messina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
MES
3 - 1
TAR
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
REG
0 - 0
MES
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
MES
2 - 0
CAG
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
MES
4 - 0
VNZ
40%
30%
30%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
LEC
2 - 2
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 0
ATL
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
PAL
7 - 1
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
CAT
3 - 0
PAR
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOD
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
REG
1 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |