ACR Messina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
BAR
0 - 0
MES
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
MES
0 - 2
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
MES
2 - 1
NOV
43%
28%
30%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
ASS
0 - 0
MES
61%
22%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
TRI
0 - 0
MES
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 2
PAR
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 2
PAL
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
PAR
1 - 1
LEC
60%
20%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
MOD
2 - 2
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
CAG
2 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |