ACR Messina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
MES
2 - 0
PAD
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
VER
1 - 1
MES
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
UNI
2 - 2
MES
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
MES
3 - 0
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
MES
1 - 1
TAR
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
TAR
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
PAV
0 - 0
PAR
42%
23%
35%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
71%
18%
12%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
VER
2 - 2
PAR
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
UNI
3 - 1
PAR
54%
20%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |