ACR Messina vs Palmese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
EBO
0 - 0
MES
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
MES
3 - 1
ACP
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
MES
2 - 1
AEE
55%
21%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FCI
0 - 0
MES
59%
23%
17%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
USV
2 - 0
MES
57%
25%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 3
USV
19%
25%
57%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
PAL
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 0
ROC
59%
22%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 0
PAL
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 1
GEL
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |