ACR Messina vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
21.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
COS
0 - 0
MES
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
MES
3 - 1
TAR
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
MES
1 - 1
LEC
32%
30%
38%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
PAD
4 - 0
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
MES
0 - 2
BRE
48%
30%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
PAL
1 - 1
ANC
36%
30%
34%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAL
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
PAL
2 - 0
PES
36%
30%
34%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
PIS
2 - 0
PAL
76%
17%
7%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
PAL
1 - 0
LEC
24%
29%
46%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | +1 |