Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 1-3
ACR Messina vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
ANC
1 - 1
MES
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
MES
2 - 2
UDI
39%
30%
32%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
TAR
0 - 0
MES
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
MES
3 - 0
SSB
47%
29%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
MES
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
PAL
1 - 3
VER
21%
28%
51%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
VER
2 - 1
PAL
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
ROM
4 - 0
PAL
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
PIS
1 - 1
PAL
76%
16%
9%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
ALV
3 - 0
PAL
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |