ACR Messina vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
ACM
0 - 2
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
MES
1 - 0
TAR
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
MES
1 - 0
REG
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
TOR
0 - 0
MES
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
MAN
3 - 0
MES
63%
20%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
PAL
1 - 1
JUV
14%
19%
67%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAL
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
PAL
1 - 0
VIC
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
INT
3 - 3
PAL
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
USA
1 - 0
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |