ACR Messina vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
NUO
3 - 1
MES
58%
26%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MES
3 - 2
MON
53%
25%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 0
MES
40%
28%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MES
0 - 5
BEN
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MES
3 - 0
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PAG
4 - 3
JUS
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 1
PAG
69%
20%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PAG
3 - 1
MAR
51%
27%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
USF
2 - 2
PAG
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 2
CAS
19%
28%
54%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |