ACR Messina vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
50.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
USF
2 - 0
MES
72%
19%
10%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MES
1 - 2
ASM
46%
26%
28%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIG
2 - 1
MES
47%
28%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MES
0 - 3
JUS
22%
24%
55%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
MES
85%
12%
3%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 0
LEC
13%
23%
64%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
JUS
1 - 1
NUO
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
NUO
2 - 0
MAT
36%
28%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 0
NUO
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
PON
1 - 1
NUO
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |