ACR Messina vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
LIC
1 - 1
MES
64%
21%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 2
MES
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MES
1 - 3
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MES
1 - 0
NUV
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
MES
48%
26%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
NUO
2 - 1
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
NUO
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NUO
1 - 1
ACP
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NUO
1 - 1
CIT
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACI
1 - 1
NUO
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |