ACR Messina vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
MES
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ACI
3 - 0
MES
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | -4 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
USV
0 - 0
MES
34%
29%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MES
2 - 1
NUO
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LEC
0 - 1
MES
75%
17%
8%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
NOC
2 - 0
POM
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
TRA
0 - 2
NOC
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NOC
4 - 1
FBC
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SSM
3 - 1
NOC
28%
25%
48%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
NOC
0 - 1
BIS
50%
24%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |