ACR Messina vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
SAL
3 - 0
MES
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
MES
2 - 0
PES
53%
23%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MES
1 - 1
NAP
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
SAM
1 - 1
MES
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
MES
2 - 2
TRI
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
NAP
0 - 1
COM
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
PES
0 - 3
NAP
35%
25%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
SAL
0 - 0
NAP
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MES
1 - 1
NAP
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
NAP
1 - 0
TER
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |