ACR Messina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
28.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
CAS
0 - 0
MES
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
MES
2 - 0
PIS
32%
29%
40%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
PIA
2 - 1
MES
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
MES
0 - 0
ANC
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
REG
1 - 0
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
MOD
2 - 0
UDI
38%
29%
34%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
PAD
2 - 0
MOD
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
MOD
1 - 0
BOL
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1991 |
MOD
1 - 1
VNZ
52%
27%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1991 |
CES
2 - 0
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |