ACR Messina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
ATP
0 - 0
MES
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
USA
2 - 1
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
MES
1 - 1
PRO
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
MES
0 - 0
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
CAG
1 - 0
MES
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
MOD
2 - 2
PAV
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
PAD
0 - 0
MOD
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
MOD
1 - 2
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
MOD
0 - 0
TRE
58%
23%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ASS
2 - 2
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |